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脾体积对肝硬化门静脉高压性胃病及其严重程度的预测价值

张志强 陈伟 刘波

引用本文:
Citation:

脾体积对肝硬化门静脉高压性胃病及其严重程度的预测价值

DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-5256.2023.04.013
基金项目: 

湖北省自然科学基金 (2018CFB619)

伦理学声明:本研究方案于2022年9月8日经由湖北医药学院附属襄阳市第一人民医院伦理委员会批准,批号:XYYYE20220087。
利益冲突声明:本研究不存在研究者、伦理委员会成员、受试者监护人以及与公开研究成果有关的利益冲突。
作者贡献声明:张志强负责课题设计,资料分析,撰写论文;陈伟、刘波参与修改文章关键内容并最后定稿。
详细信息
    通信作者:

    陈伟,chenweiyf@163.com (ORCID: 0000-0002-6985-4595)

Value of spleen volume in predicting portal hypertensive gastropathy and its severity in patients with liver cirrhosis

Research funding: 

Hubei Provincial Natural Science Foundation Project (2018CFB619)

More Information
  • 摘要:   目的  探讨脾体积(SV)对肝硬化患者门静脉高压性胃病(PHG)及重度PHG的预测价值。  方法  回顾性分析2018年1月—2022年8月湖北医药学院附属襄阳市第一人民医院收治的168例肝硬化患者临床资料,以胃镜检查结果为“金标准”,将患者分为无PHG组(n=115)和PHG组(n=53),轻度PHG组(n=26)和重度PHG组(n=27),所有患者均行电子胃镜、腹部磁共振及相关血清学检查,获取相关指标及参数。正态分布的计量资料两组间比较采用成组t检验;非正态分布的计量资料两组间比较采用Mann-Whitney U检验。计数资料两组间比较采用χ2检验。通过多因素Logistic回归分析筛选出PHG、重度PHG的独立危险因素,利用受试者工作特征曲线(ROC曲线)比较相关指标或参数的预测价值。ROC曲线下面积的比较采用Delong检验。  结果  单因素分析显示:PHG组和非PHG组性别、有无腹水、Hb、PLT、AST、TBil、Alb、PT、INR、Child-Pugh分级、FIB-4评分、King评分、Lok评分、脾长径(SD)、SV、血小板/脾长径(PSDR)、血小板/脾体积(PSVR)比较,差异均有统计学意义(P值均<0.05);轻度PHG组和重度PHG组Hb、PLT、Alb、SD、SV、PSDR、PSVR比较,差异均有统计学意义(P值均<0.05)。多因素Logistic回归分析显示:FIB-4评分(OR=1.280,95%CI:1.009~1.625)和SV(OR=1.007,95%CI:1.001~1.013)是PHG发生的独立危险因素(P值均<0.05);SV(OR=0.990,95%CI:0.980~1.000)是重度PHG发生的独立影响因素(P<0.05)。ROC曲线分析结果显示:在预测PHG发生时,SV的曲线下面积为0.884, 高于FIB-4评分的0.825(P<0.05),其最佳临界值为406.82,敏感度为0.774,特异度为0.870;在预测重度PHG发生时,SV的曲线下面积为0.782,最佳临界值为714.63,敏感度为0.593,特异度为0.962。  结论  SV对PHG和重度PHG的发生均具有较好的预测价值。

     

  • 图  1  SV和FIB-4评分预测PHG的ROC曲线

    Figure  1.  ROC curve of SV and FIB-4 score in predicting PHG

    图  2  SV预测重度PHG的ROC曲线

    Figure  2.  ROC curve of SV in predicting severe PHG

    表  1  无PHG组与PHG组一般资料比较

    Table  1.   General information of patients in No-PHG group and PHG group

    变量 无PHG组(n=115) PHG组(n=53) 统计值 P
    性别(男/女,例) 65/50 41/12 χ2=6.765 0.009
    年龄(岁) 54.79±10.74 51.65±11.38 t=-1.709 0.089
    吸烟史(有/无,例) 35/80 21/32 χ2=1.378 0.240
    饮酒史(有/无,例) 34/81 23/30 χ2=3.096 0.078
    高血压史(有/无,例) 28/87 6/47 χ2=3.814 0.051
    病因(例) χ2=3.767 0.052
      乙型肝炎 74 42
      其他 41 11
    腹水(有/无,例) 31/84 34/19 χ2=21.159 <0.001
    Hb(g/L) 137.10±19.81 119.64±25.59 t=-4.395 <0.001
    PLT(×109/L) 148.00(109.00~192.00) 65.00(53.50~101.00) Z=-7.951 <0.001
    ALT(U/L) 27.70(17.70~60.00) 27.40(21.55~52.45) Z=-0.486 0.627
    AST(U/L) 33.40(26.10~54.90) 45.20(33.40~61.35) Z=-2.483 0.013
    TBil(μmol/L) 18.24(15.20~28.30) 25.79(18.64~39.16) Z=-3.301 0.001
    Alb(g/L) 42.47±5.74 37.87±6.43 t=-4.644 <0.001
    PT(s) 11.00(10.50~11.60) 12.10(11.65~13.35) Z=-5.864 <0.001
    INR 0.94(0.91~1.00) 1.06(1.02~1.16) Z=-5.982 <0.001
    Child-Pugh分级(例) χ2=12.546 0.002
      A级 95 30
      B级 17 20
      C级 3 3
    FIB-4评分 2.54(1.75~3.77) 6.09(3.94~8.63) Z=-6.763 <0.001
    King评分 13.41(8.08~30.67) 37.48(22.69~53.98) Z=-5.497 <0.001
    Lok评分 -0.16(-0.96~0.39) 1.30(0.51~2.13) Z=-6.900 <0.001
    SD(mm) 111.63±22.43 152.07±29.12 t=8.959 <0.001
    SV(cm3) 240.79±138.25 597.30±275.86 t=8.907 <0.001
    PSDR(n·cm-3·mm-1) 1 304.43(978.24~1 875.26) 452.46(319.40~675.63) Z=-8.330 <0.001
    PSVR(n·cm-3·cm-3) 749.88(438.72~1 185.13) 132.26(69.53~215.77) Z= -8.477 <0.001
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  2  轻度PHG组与重度PHG组一般资料比较

    Table  2.   General information of patients in Mild PHG group and Severe PHG group

    变量 轻度PHG组(n=26) 重度PHG组(n=27) 统计值 P
    性别(男/女,例) 18/8 23/4 χ2=1.925 0.165
    年龄(岁) 52.12±12.31 51.33±9.90 t=-0.255 0.800
    吸烟史(有/无,例) 12/14 9/18 χ2=0.910 0.340
    饮酒史(有/无,例) 14/12 10/17 χ2=1.510 0.219
    高血压病史(有/无,例) 2/24 4/23 χ2=0.148 0.701
    病因(例)
      乙型肝炎 19 23 χ2=1.181 0.277
      其他 7 4
    腹水(有/无,例) 15/11 19/8 χ2=0.926 0.336
    Hb(g/L) 111.62±26.92 127.37±22.06 t=2.334 0.024
    PLT(×109/L) 83.50(62.00~114.25) 56.00(51.00~71.00) Z=-3.194 0.001
    ALT(U/L) 23.65(19.63~46.85) 35.10(25.00~53.10) Z=-1.406 0.160
    AST(U/L) 47.16(32.28~89.48) 41.60(37.80~49.30) Z=-1.076 0.282
    TBil(μmol/L) 23.15(17.70~32.90) 30.20(21.98~46.20) Z=-1.779 0.075
    Alb(g/L) 35.99±6.27 39.67±6.17 t=2.156 0.036
    PT(s) 11.95(11.30~12.33) 12.60(11.80~13.40) Z=-0.962 0.336
    INR 1.05(1.02~1.16) 1.09(1.02~1.17) Z=-0.695 0.487
    Child-Pugh分级(例) χ2=0.555 0.912
      A级 14 16
      B级 10 10
      C级 2 1
    FIB-4评分 5.48(3.14~10.39) 6.12(4.70~7.57) Z=-0.071 0.943
    King评分 29.68(18.03~97.45) 47.01(31.97~52.17) Z=-1.050 0.294
    Lok评分 1.42(0.53~2.31) 1.14(0.35~2.08) Z=-0.587 0.557
    SD(mm) 142.49±27.14 161.29±28.43 t=2.461 0.017
    SV(cm3) 459.92±178.33 729.59±290.82 t=4.086 <0.001
    PSDR(n·cm-3·mm-1) 536.46(447.82~897.43) 350.29(269.36~529.85) Z=-3.256 0.001
    PSVR(n·cm-3·cm-3) 161.74(131.83~282.81) 73.63(55.82~136.00) Z=-3.683 <0.001
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  3  肝硬化PHG无创指标的Logistic回归分析

    Table  3.   Logistic regression analysis of non-invasive indexes of PHG in liver cirrhosis

    变量 B SE Wald P OR 95%CI
    性别(女=0, 男=1) 0.894 0.647 1.911 0.167 2.445 0.688~8.684
    腹水(无=0,有=1) 0.600 0.670 0.802 0.370 1.832 0.490~6.781
    Alb -0.101 0.062 2.614 0.106 0.904 0.800~1.022
    Child-Pugh分级 0.074 0.819 0.008 0.928 1.077 0.216~5.361
    (A=0,B=1,C=2)
    FIB-4评分 0.247 0.122 4.123 0.042 1.280 1.009~1.625
    King评分 -0.016 0.009 2.754 0.097 0.984 0.966~1.003
    SD -0.006 0.022 0.077 0.781 0.994 0.953~1.037
    SV 0.007 0.003 5.675 0.017 1.007 1.001~1.013
    PSDR 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.990 1.000 0.998~1.002
    PSVR -0.001 0.002 0.179 0.672 0.999 0.995~1.003
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  4  肝硬化重度PHG无创指标的Logistic回归分析

    Table  4.   Logistic regression analysis of non-invasive indexes of severe PHG in liver cirrhosis

    变量 B SE Wald P OR 95%CI
    PLT 0.017 0.068 0.066 0.797 1.018 0.891~1.162
    Alb -0.023 0.077 0.087 0.768 0.977 0.840~1.138
    SD 0.054 0.053 1.033 0.310 1.055 0.951~1.171
    SV -0.010 0.005 4.073 0.044 0.990 0.980~1.000
    PSDR 0.004 0.011 0.125 0.724 1.004 0.983~1.025
    PSVR -0.007 0.008 0.751 0.386 0.993 0.978~1.008
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  5  SV和FIB-4评分诊断PHG,SV诊断重度PHG效能分析

    Table  5.   Efficiency analysis of SV and FIB-4 in diagnosing PHG, SV in diagnosing severe PHG

    变量 AUC 95%CI P 最佳临界值 敏感度 特异度 约登指数
    SV和FIB-4评分诊断PHG
      SV 0.884 0.829~0.940 <0.001 406.82 0.774 0.870 0.644
      FIB-4评分 0.825 0.756~0.894 <0.001 4.05 0.755 0.809 0.563
    SV诊断重度PHG 0.782 0.656~0.909 <0.001 714.63 0.593 0.962 0.554
    下载: 导出CSV
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