中文English
ISSN 1001-5256 (Print)
ISSN 2097-3497 (Online)
CN 22-1108/R

留言板

尊敬的读者、作者、审稿人, 关于本刊的投稿、审稿、编辑和出版的任何问题, 您可以本页添加留言。我们将尽快给您答复。谢谢您的支持!

姓名
邮箱
手机号码
标题
留言内容
验证码

5种评分系统对慢加急性肝衰竭患者短期病死率的预测价值

张静 周新民

引用本文:
Citation:

5种评分系统对慢加急性肝衰竭患者短期病死率的预测价值

DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-5256.2019.09.021
基金项目: 

国家自然科学基金青年基金(81402467); 

详细信息
  • 中图分类号: R575.3

Value of five scoring systems in predicting short-term mortality of patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure

Research funding: 

 

  • 摘要:

    目的应用CTP、MELD、iMELD、CLIF-SOFA和CLIF-C-ACLF评分评估慢加急性肝衰竭(ACLF)患者病情的严重程度,探讨和对比各种评分系统对预测ACLF患者28 d及90 d病死率的应用价值。方法选择2013年1月-2017年12月西京医院消化内科住院的107例ACLF患者,收集诊断成立时第1天、第3~5天及第7~9天的相关实验室检测指标,分别计算CTP、MELD、iMELD、CLIF-SOFA和CLIF-C-ACLF评分,应用受试者工作特征曲线(ROC曲线)比较以上评分系统的诊断价值。符合正态性的计量资料2组间比较采用t检验或Satterthwaite近似t检验,不符合正态性的计量资料2组间比较采用Man-Whithey U检验;计数资料2组间比较采用χ2检验。结果在107例患者中,治疗28 d死亡44例(41. 1%),治疗90 d死亡55例(51. 4%)。诊断成立时iMELD、CLIF-SOFA和MELD评分预测28 d病死率的ROC曲线下面积(AUC)分别为0. 81、0. 73和0. 75,预测患者90 d病死率的AUC分别为0. 73、0. 68和0. ...

     

  • [1] Liver Failure and Artificial Liver Group, Chinese Society of Infectious Diseases, Chinese Medical Association; Severe Liver Disease and Artificial Liver Group, Chinese Society of Hepatology, Chinese Medical Association. Guideline for diagnosis and treatment of liver failure (2018) [J]. J Clin Hepatol, 2019, 35 (1) :38-44. (in Chinese) 中华医学会感染病学分会肝衰竭与人工肝学组, 中华医学会肝病学分会重型肝病与人工肝学组.肝衰竭诊治指南 (2018年版) [J].临床肝胆病杂志, 2019, 35 (1) :38-44.
    [2] SHI Y, YANG Y, HU Y, et al. Acute-on-chronic liver failure precipitated by hepatic injury is distinct from that precipitated by extrahepatic insults[J]. Hepatology, 2015, 62 (1) :232-242.
    [3] MCPHAIL MJ, SHAWCROSS DL, ABELES RD, et al. Increased survival for patients with cirrhosis and organ failure in liver intensive care and validation of the chronic liver failure-sequential organ failure scoring system[J]. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol, 2015, 13 (7) :1353-1360. e8.
    [4] MOREAU R, JALAN R, GINES P, et al. Acute-on-chronic liver failure is a distinct syndrome that develops in patients with acute decompensation of cirrhosis[J]. Gastroenterology, 2013, 144 (7) :1426-1437, 1437. e1-9.
    [5] KAMATH PS, WIESNER RH, MALINCHOC M, et al. A model to predict survival in patients with end-stage liver disease[J]. Hepatology, 2001, 33 (2) :464-470.
    [6] JALAN R, SALIBA F, PAVESI M, et al. Development and validation of a prognostic score to predict mortality in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure[J]. J Hepatol, 2014, 61 (5) :1038-1047.
    [7] ZHANG DJ, ZHOU B, HOU JL. Research progress in prognostic models of acute-on-chronic liver failure[J]. J Clin Hepatol, 2018, 34 (6) :1351-1356. (in Chinese) 张东敬, 周彬, 侯金林.慢加急性肝衰竭预后模型的研究进展[J].临床肝胆病杂志, 2018, 34 (6) :1351-1356.
    [8] LI L, HU H, ZHENG XW. Prediction of short-term survival by four scoring systems based on MELD in patients with acuteon-chronic hepatitis B-induced liver failure[J]. J Prac Hepatol, 2018, 21 (3) :417-420. (in Chinese) 李磊, 胡辉, 郑晓玮.四种基于MELD的评分系统对慢加急性乙型肝炎肝衰竭患者短期生存的预测价值分析[J].实用肝脏病杂志, 2018, 21 (3) :417-420.
    [9] WIESNER R, EDWARDS E, FREEMAN R, et al. Model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) and allocation of donor livers[J]. Gastroenterology, 2003, 124 (1) :91-96.
    [10] DURAND F, VALLA D. Assessment of the prognosis of cirrhosis:Child-Pugh versus MELD[J]. J Hepatol, 2005, 42 (Suppl 1) :s100-s107.
    [11] D’AMICO G, GARCIA-TSAO G, PAGLIARO L. Natural history and prognostic indicators of survival in cirrhosis:A systematic review of 118 studies[J]. J Hepatol, 2006, 44 (1) :217-231.
    [12] SILVA PE, FAYAD L, LAZZAROTTO C, et al. Single-centre validation of the EASL-CLIF consortium definition of acuteon-chronic liver failure and CLIF-SOFA for prediction of mortality in cirrhosis[J]. Liver Int, 2015, 35 (5) :1516-1523.
    [13] KIM HY, KIM CW, KIM TY, et al. Assessment of scoring systems for acute-on-chronic liver failure at predicting shortterm mortality in patients with alcoholic hepatitis[J]. World J Gastroenterol, 2016, 22 (41) :9205-9213.
  • 加载中
计量
  • 文章访问数:  1402
  • HTML全文浏览量:  38
  • PDF下载量:  290
  • 被引次数: 0
出版历程
  • 收稿日期:  2019-05-08
  • 出版日期:  2019-09-20
  • 分享
  • 用微信扫码二维码

    分享至好友和朋友圈

目录

    /

    返回文章
    返回