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原位肝移植术后胆道并发症发生的影响因素分析

朱明强 杨大帅 裴俊鹏 熊祥云 苏洋 丁佑铭

引用本文:
Citation:

原位肝移植术后胆道并发症发生的影响因素分析

DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-5256.2023.07.017
基金项目: 

国家重点研发计划 (2022YFC2407304)

利益冲突声明:本文不存在任何利益冲突。
作者贡献声明:朱明强负责课题设计,资料分析,撰写论文;杨大帅参与数据分析;裴俊鹏、熊祥云参与收集数据;苏洋参与修改论文;丁佑铭负责拟定写作思路,指导撰写文章并最后定稿。
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    通信作者:

    丁佑铭,dingym62@163.com (ORCID: 0000-0001-6695-3275)

Analysis of influencing factors on biliary complications after orthotopic liver transplantation

Research funding: 

National Key Research and Development Program (2022YFC2407304)

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    Corresponding author: DING Youming, dingym62@163.com (ORCID: 0000-0001-6695-3275)
  • 摘要:   目的  分析原位肝移植术后胆道并发症相关的血清学指标、手术指标, 探究其影响因素及预测指标。  方法  回顾性收集武汉大学人民医院2016年1月-2022年6月101例行原位肝移植患者的临床资料。根据患者术后6个月是否出现胆道并发症, 分为胆道并发症组(BC组, n=21)和非胆道并发症组(非BC组, n=80)。计量资料两组间比较采用成组t检验或Mann-Whitney U检验, 计数资料两组间比较使用χ2检验。单因素与多因素分析采用Logistic回归分析, 并以受试者工作特征曲线(ROC曲线)评估联合指标的预测效能。  结果  101例患者中21例(20.8%)发生胆道并发症。Logistc多因素分析结果显示, MELD评分(OR=0.134, 95%CI: 0.031~0.590, P=0.008)、全身炎症反应指数(SⅡ)/Alb (OR=1.415, 95%CI: 1.181~1.696, P=0.001)、输入血浆量(OR=1.001, 95%CI: 1.000~1.002, P=0.032)是肝移植患者术后发生胆道并发症的独立影响因素。MELD评分、SⅡ/Alb、输入血浆量、MELD+SⅡ/Alb、MELD+SⅡ/Alb+输入血浆量预测肝移植术后胆道并发症的ROC曲线下面积(AUC)分别为0.712、0.870、0.712、0.900、0.918。  结论  SⅡ/Alb、输入血浆量及MELD评分是肝移植术后胆道并发症发生的影响因素, 三者联合具有较好的预测价值和临床指导意义。

     

  • 图  1  MELD评分、SⅡ/Alb及输血浆量预测肝移植术后胆道并发症的ROC曲线

    Figure  1.  ROC curve of MELD, SⅡ/Alb and plasma transfusion to predict BC after liver transplantation

    表  1  原位肝移植患者术后胆道并发症的单因素分析

    Table  1.   Univariate analysis of BC after orthotopic liver transplantation

    变量 BC组(n=21) 非BC组(n=80) 统计值 P
    年龄(岁) 49.0±9.3 50.5±10.7 t=0.593 0.554
    性别(男/女, 例) 19/2 67/13 χ2=0.595 0.440
    原发病(例)
      肝炎肝硬化(是/否) 15/6 51/29 χ2=0.433 0.510
      肝恶性肿瘤(是/否) 9/12 45/35 χ2=1.199 0.273
    合并症(例)
      高血压(是/否) 3/18 16/64 χ2=0.356 0.551
      糖尿病(是/否) 5/16 17/63 χ2=0.064 0.800
      血管并发症(是/否) 6/15 12/68 χ2=2.092 0.148
    胆管吻合方式[例(%)] χ2=0.276 0.599
      端端吻合 19(90.5) 75(93.8)
       胆肠吻合 2(9.5) 5(6.2)
    Child-Pugh分级[例(%)] χ2=1.381 0.240
      A级 8(38.1) 42(52.5)
      ≥B级 13(61.9) 38(47.5)
    MELD评分[例(%)] χ2=16.073 0.001
      >18分 10(47.6) 8(10.0)
      ≤18分 11(52.4) 72(90.0)
    ALBI评分 -2.02(-2.44~-1.40) -2.36(-2.85~-1.83) Z=-2.368 0.018
    ALT(U/L) 34.0(22.5~48.0) 30.5(20.0~48.0) Z=-0.452 0.651
    AST(U/L) 43.0(27.0~82.5) 39.5(28.3~69.0) Z=-0.511 0.610
    TBil(μmol/L) 49.61(12.23~163.05) 26.09(14.46~55.96) Z=-1.029 0.303
    Alb(g/L) 36.0±3.6 39.4±5.7 t=0.664 0.011
    PT(s) 14.0(12.2~19.3) 13.8(11.6~15.7) Z=-1.080 0.280
    ALP(U/L) 112.16(93.10~126.55) 104.1(83.85~125.25) Z=-1.134 0.257
    GGT(U/L) 72.0(39.5~123.0) 60.5(23.3~129.0) Z=-0.439 0.660
    SCr(μmol/L) 70.0(60.0~100.5) 64.0(55.0~78.8) Z=-1.532 0.125
    GPR 0.43(0.28~0.92) 0.46(0.17~1.01) Z=-0.238 0.811
    NLR 4.20(3.21~5.24) 2.82(2.12~3.84) Z=-3.933 0.001
    SⅡ/Alb 14.77(12.39~18.09) 9.09(7.46~11.81) Z=-5.197 0.001
    手术时长(min) 9.5(8.8~11.0) 9.0(8.0~10.0) Z=-2.377 0.017
    术中出血量(mL) 3600(2350~5250) 2650(1525~3475) Z=-2.685 0.007
    输入红细胞(U) 16(9~22) 10(8~16) Z=-2.359 0.018
    输血浆量(mL) 2000(1950~3025) 1875(1000~2075) Z=-3.016 0.003
    无肝期(min) 65(50~70) 57(45~65) Z=-1.387 0.165
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  2  原位肝移植患者术后胆道并发症的多因素分析

    Table  2.   Multivariate analysis of BC after orthotopic liver transplantation

    变量 β SE Wald/χ2 OR 95%CI P
    MELD评分(>18分vs≤18分) -2.009 0.756 7.068 0.134 0.031~0.590 0.008
    S Ⅱ /Alb(≥14.5 vs<14.5) 0.347 0.092 14.147 1.415 1.181~1.696 0.001
    输入血浆量(>4 000 mL vs≤4 000 mL) 0.001 0.000 4.604 1.001 1.000~1.002 0.032
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  3  各指标对肝移植术后胆道并发症的预测性能

    Table  3.   Prediction of different index for BC after liver transplantation

    指标 AUC SE 95%CI P 敏感度 特异度 约登指数
    MELD评分 0.712 0.071 0.572~0.852 0.003 - - -
    SⅡ/Alb 0.870 0.036 0.798~0.941 0.001 0.857 0.763 0.620
    输入血浆量 0.712 0.059 0.598~0.827 0.003 0.810 0.500 0.310
    MELD+SⅡ/Alb 0.900 0.034 0.833~0.967 0.001 0.905 0.725 0.630
    MELD+S Ⅱ /Alb+输入血浆量 0.918 0.029 0.861~0.976 0.001 0.810 0.888 0.697
    下载: 导出CSV
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