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东西方国家急性坏死性胰腺炎影响因素的Meta分析

马书丽 杨晓曦 陈晨 喻静 周游 路国涛 向晓星 龚卫娟 陈炜炜 陈娟

引用本文:
Citation:

东西方国家急性坏死性胰腺炎影响因素的Meta分析

DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-5256.2023.07.019
基金项目: 

国家自然科学基金 (82004291);

江苏省自然科学基金 (BK20190907);

江苏省六大人才高峰项目 (WSN-325)

利益冲突声明:本文不存在任何利益冲突。
作者贡献声明:陈娟负责论文设计和拟定写作思路;马书丽、杨晓曦负责文献检索、整理并分析数据;马书丽负责解读数据并撰写论文初稿;陈晨指导分析数据,修改论文;喻静、周游、路国涛、向晓星、龚卫娟、陈炜炜指导撰写文章并最后定稿。
详细信息
    通信作者:

    陈娟,chenjuan406512@163.com (ORCID: 0000-0002-2181-2636)

Influencing factors for acute necrotizing pancreatitis in Eastern and Western countries: A meta-analysis

Research funding: 

National Natural Science Foundation (82004291);

Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province (BK20190907);

Six Talent Peaks Project of Jiangsu Province (WSN-325)

More Information
  • 摘要:   目的  探讨东西方国家急性坏死性胰腺炎(ANP)及感染性坏死性急性胰腺炎(IPN)影响因素的区别, 为预测和预防ANP的发生提供理论依据。  方法  在PubMed、Embase、Cochrane library、Web of Science等数据库检索公开发表的有关ANP、IPN的影响因素, 检索期限为建库至2021年1月21日, 运用Meta分析方法进行整合分析。  结果  共纳入59项研究, 其中22项来自东方国家, 37项来自西方国家。  结果  显示, ANP的影响因素: 在东方为男性(OR=1.51, 95%CI: 1.18~1.91, P < 0.01)、CRP (SMD=1.39, 95%CI: 1.06~1.71, P < 0.01)、D-二聚体(SMD=0.44, 95%CI: 0.07~0.81, P=0.02)、APACHE-Ⅱ评分(MD=3.51, 95%CI: 1.38~5.64, P < 0.01)、酒精性病因(OR=3.57, 95%CI: 2.68~4.75, P < 0.01)、胆源性病因(OR=0.60, 95%CI: 0.46~0.77, P < 0.01);在西方为男性(OR=1.63, 95%CI: 1.30~2.05, P < 0.01)、CRP (SMD=2.09, 95%CI: 1.12~3.05, P < 0.01)、APACHE-Ⅱ评分(MD=4.28, 95%CI: 2.73~5.83, P < 0.01)、Ranson评分(MD=2.99, 95%CI: 2.50~3.47, P < 0.01)和器官衰竭(OR=10.87, 95%CI: 2.62~45.04, P < 0.01)。IPN的影响因素: 在东方为年龄(MD=2.16, 95%CI: 0.43~3.89, P=0.01)、BMI (MD=1.74, 95%CI: 1.23~2.25, P < 0.01)、白蛋白水平(SMD=-0.43, 95%CI: -0.75~-0.12, P < 0.01)、CRP (SMD=0.58, 95%CI: 0.04~1.11, P=0.03)、PCT (SMD=0.80, 95%CI: 0.56~1.04, P < 0.01)、D-二聚体(MD=0.23, 95%CI: 0.15~0.31, P < 0.01)、APACHE-Ⅱ评分(MD=2.47, 95%CI: 0.73~4.22, P < 0.01)、Ranson评分(MD=1.60, 95%CI: 1.46~1.73, P<0.01)和坏死范围≥30%(OR=2.52, 95%CI: 1.26~5.06, P < 0.01);在西方为年龄(MD=4.07, 95%CI: 1.82~6.31, P < 0.01)、APACHE-Ⅱ评分(MD=3.28, 95%CI: 1.39~5.17, P < 0.01)、Ranson评分(MD=2.18, 95%CI: 1.75~2.62, P < 0.01)、SIRS评分(OR=3.88, 95%CI: 1.58~9.51, P < 0.01)、酒精性病因(OR=0.61, 95%CI: 0.42~0.87, P < 0.01)和器官衰竭(OR=3.63, 95%CI: 1.11~11.92, P=0.03)。  结论  当前证据显示, 东方人群ANP的特异性影响因素为胆源性病因及酒精性病因, 而Ranson评分是西方人群ANP的特异性影响因素; BMI和坏死范围≥30%是东方人群IPN特异性影响因素, 酒精性病因是西方人群IPN特异性影响因素。

     

  • 图  1  文献筛选流程图

    Figure  1.  Flow-chart of study selection

    表  1  纳入文献的基本特征

    Table  1.   Basic characteristics of included studies

    第一作者 年份 国家 研究类型 例数 观察比较 影响因素 质量评分
    西方
      Büchler M[13] 1986 德国 队列研究 35 ANP vs non-ANP 年龄、性别、酒精性病因、胆源性病因 5
      Büchler M[14] 1989 德国 队列研究 48 ANP vs non-ANP Ranson评分 5
      Domschke S[15] 1993 德国 病例对照研究 40 ANP vs non-ANP CRP、白蛋白 5
      Kaufmann P[16] 1996 奥地利 队列研究 25 ANP vs non-ANP 年龄、性别、CRP、酒精性病因、胆源性病因 7
      Schmid SW[17] 1996 德国 队列研究 40 ANP vs non-ANP Ranson评分、年龄、性别 6
      Manes G[18] 1997 德国 队列研究 36 ANP vs non-ANP CRP 5
      Rau B[19] 1997 德国 队列研究 50 ANP vs non-ANP/IPN vs non-IPN APACHE-Ⅱ评分、Ranson评分、年龄、性别、酒精性病因、胆源性病因 6
      Tenner S[20] 1997 美国 病例对照研究 51 IPN vs non-IPN 器官衰竭 6
      Baillargeon JD[21] 1998 美国 病例对照研究 64 ANP vs non-ANP HCT、APACHE-Ⅱ评分、年龄、性别、酒精性病因、胆源性病因 7
      Rau B[22] 1998 德国 队列研究 70 ANP vs non-ANP APACHE-Ⅱ评分、Ranson评分、年龄、性别 6
      Hietaranta A[23] 1999 芬兰 队列研究 57 IPN vs non-IPN SIRS 7
      Brown A[24] 2000 美国 队列研究 53 ANP vs non-ANP HCT、年龄、性别、器官衰竭 6
      Buttenschoen K[25] 2000 德国 队列研究 34 ANP vs non-ANP Ranson评分、性别 5
      Mándi Y[26] 2000 匈牙利 队列研究 20 IPN vs non-IPN APACHE-Ⅱ评分、Ranson评分、年龄、性别、酒精性病因、SIRS、胆源性病因 6
      Müller CA[27] 2000 瑞士 队列研究 64 ANP vs non-ANP/IPN vs non-IPN APACHE-Ⅱ评分、Ranson评分、年龄、性别、坏死范围≥30%、酒精性病因、器官衰竭、胆源性病因 6
      Rau B[28] 2000 德国 队列研究 66 ANP vs non-ANP APACHE-Ⅱ评分、Ranson评分、年龄、性别、酒精性病因、胆源性病因 5
      Rau B[29] 2000 德国 队列研究 61 ANP vs non-ANP/IPN vs non-IPN APACHE-Ⅱ评分、Ranson评分、年龄、性别、酒精性病因、胆源性病因 6
      Khan AA[30] 2002 美国 病例对照研究 93 ANP vs non-ANP APACHE-Ⅱ评分 7
      Müller CA[31] 2002 瑞典 队列研究 85 ANP vs non-ANP Ranson评分、年龄、性别、酒精性病因、胆源性病因 6
      Perez A[32] 2002 美国 病例对照研究 99 ANP vs non-ANP APACHE-Ⅱ评分、器官衰竭 7
      Riché FC[33] 2003 法国 队列研究 48 IPN vs non-IPN Ranson评分、年龄、性别、酒精性病因、胆源性病因 7
      Barauskas G[34] 2004 立陶宛 病例对照研究 78 ANP vs non-ANP 性别、CRP、酒精性病因、胆源性病因 7
      Papachristou GI[35] 2006 美国 病例对照研究/队列研究 436 ANP vs non-ANP BMI、HCT、年龄、性别、吸烟、胆源性病因 6
      Dambrauskas Z[36] 2007 立陶宛 队列研究 52 IPN vs non-IPN 年龄、性别、坏死范围≥30%、酒精性病因、胆源性病因 9
      López A[37] 2007 西班牙 队列研究 84 ANP vs non-ANP 年龄、性别、酒精性病因、胆源性病因 7
      Muller CA[38] 2007 德国 队列研究 109 ANP vs non-ANP/IPN vs non-IPN APACHE-Ⅱ评分、Ranson评分、年龄、性别、CRP、酒精性病因、胆源性病因 6
      Rahman SH[39] 2007 英国 队列研究 64 ANP vs non-ANP APACHE-Ⅱ评分、CRP 7
      De Campos T[40] 2008 巴西 病例对照研究 39 ANP vs non-ANP HCT、APACHE-Ⅱ评分、年龄、性别、CRP、酒精性病因、改良版Marshall评分、SOFA评分 6
      Muddana V[41] 2009 美国 队列研究 129 ANP vs non-ANP BMI、APACHE-Ⅱ评分、Ranson评分、年龄、性别、酒精性病因、器官衰竭、胆源性病因、CTSI 7
      Lipinski M[42] 2013 波兰 病例对照研究 103 ANP vs non-ANP Cre 7
      Talukdar R[43] 2013 美国 队列研究 281 IPN vs non-IPN BMI、HCT、年龄、性别、BUN、Cre、SIRS 8
      Kostic I[44] 2015 塞尔维亚 队列研究 52 ANP vs non-ANP 年龄、性别 7
      Easler JJ[45] 2016 美国 队列研究 423 ANP vs non-ANP 酒精性病因 6
      Moran RA[46] 2016 美国 队列研究 142 IPN vs non-IPN 年龄、性别、酒精性病因、器官衰竭、EEN、胆源性病因 6
      Garret C[47] 2018 法国 队列研究 132 IPN vs non-IPN BMI、年龄、性别、酒精性病因、合并糖尿病、器官衰竭、吸烟、胆源性病因、CTSI 5
      Verdonk RC[48] 2018 德国 队列研究 285 ANP vs non-ANP 酒精性病因、胆源性病因 6
      Szakacs Z[49] 2019 匈牙利 队列研究 1 198 ANP vs non-ANP 年龄 7
    东方
      Isogai M[50] 1998 日本 病例对照研究 22 ANP vs non-ANP 淀粉酶、年龄、性别、AST 6
      Mettu SR[51] 2003 印度 病例对照研究 40 IPN vs non-IPN APACHE-Ⅱ评分、MCTSI 6
      Garg PK[52] 2005 印度 队列研究 104 IPN vs non-IPN 坏死范围≥30% 7
      Gardner TB[53] 2006 黎巴嫩 病例对照研究 230 ANP vs non-ANP 性别、酒精性病因、胆源性病因 7
      Ueda T[54] 2007 日本 队列研究 75 IPN vs non-IPN APACHE-Ⅱ评分、Ranson评分 6
      Guo J[55] 2012 中国 队列研究 35 ANP vs non-ANP APACHE-Ⅱ评分、Ranson评分、年龄、性别、胆源性病因 7
      Ke L[56] 2012 中国 队列研究 45 ANP vs non-ANP D-二聚体 7
      Lu Z[57] 2012 中国 队列研究 30 IPN vs non-IPN APACHE-Ⅱ评分、Ranson评分、淀粉酶、年龄、性别、CRP、合并糖尿病、WBC、PCT、坏死范围≥30%、酒精性病因、胆源性病因、CTSI 7
      Guo Q[58] 2014 中国 队列研究 447 IPN vs non-IPN BMI、年龄、性别、坏死范围≥30%、MCTSI、酒精性病因、胆源性病因 6
      Erbis H[59] 2015 土耳其 病例对照研究 76 ANP vs non-ANP 年龄、性别、CRP、WBC 6
      Shen X[60] 2015 中国 队列研究 153 IPN vs non-IPN BMI、HCT、APACHE-Ⅱ评分、淀粉酶、年龄、性别、CRP、白蛋白、WBC、酒精性病因、胆源性病因、CTSI 8
      Thandassery RB[61] 2015 印度 队列研究 81 IPN vs non-IPN 器官衰竭 6
      Ji L[62] 2016 中国 队列研究 115 IPN vs non-IPN BMI、HCT、APACHE-Ⅱ评分、Imrie评分、年龄、性别、CRP、BUN、WBC、酒精性病因、PLT、Cre、D-二聚体、EEN、胆源性病因、改良版Marshall评分 7
      Chen HZ[63] 2017 中国 队列研究 215 IPN vs non-IPN HCT、APACHE-Ⅱ评分、Imrie评分、性别、CRP、BUN、WBC、坏死范围≥30%、MCTSI、酒精性病因、器官衰竭、PLT、Cre、D-二聚体、胆源性病因、改良版Marshall评分 8
      Chen Y[64] 2017 中国 队列研究 57 ANP vs non-ANP/IPN vs non-IPN SAP、APACHE-Ⅱ评分、CRP、PCT、D-二聚体、SOFA评分 9
      Zhang Y[65] 2017 中国 病例对照研究 1 131 ANP vs non-ANP Ranson评分、年龄、性别、WBC、酒精性病因、Cre、吸烟、AST、胆源性病因 8
      Cao X[66] 2018 中国 病例对照研究 111 IPN vs non-IPN BMI、HCT、年龄、性别、CRP、合并糖尿病、白蛋白、BUN、WBC、PCT、坏死范围≥30%、MCTSI 8
      Noda Y[67] 2018 日本 病例对照研究 56 ANP vs non-ANP BMI、年龄、性别 7
      Tan C[1] 2020 中国 队列研究 2 130 IPN vs non-IPN SIRS 7
      Ding L[4] 2019 中国 队列研究 142 IPN vs non-IPN 年龄、性别、坏死范围≥30%、酒精性病因、胆源性病因 9
      Ünal Y[68] 2019 土耳其 病例对照研究 96 ANP vs non-ANP 淀粉酶、性别、CRP、酒精性病因、胆源性病因 6
      Wan J[69] 2019 中国 队列研究 2 478 ANP vs non-ANP/IPN vs non-IPN SAP、D-二聚体 5
    注:APACHE-Ⅱ,急性生理和慢性健康评估Ⅱ;BUN,血尿素氮;Cre,肌酐;CRP,C反应蛋白;CTSI,CT严重指数;EEN,早期肠内营养;HCT,红细胞压积;MCTSI,改良CT严重指数;PLT,血小板;SAP,重度急性胰腺炎;SIRS,全身炎症反应综合征;SOFA,序贯器官衰竭评估;PCT,降钙素原。
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  2  西方ANP的影响因素

    Table  2.   Influencing factors for ANP in the West

    影响因素 研究个数 OR/MD/SMD(95%CI) P I2值(%) P1)
    年龄 18[13, 16-17, 19, 21-22, 24, 27-29, 31, 35, 37-38, 40-41, 44, 49] -1.91(-4.84~1.03) 0.20 73 <0.01
    男性 19[13, 16-17, 19, 21-22, 24-25, 27-29, 31, 34-35, 37-38, 40-41, 44] 1.63(1.30~2.05) <0.01 19 0.21
    BMI 2[35, 41] 1.58(-3.52~6.67) 0.54 90 <0.01
    HCT 4[21, 24, 35, 40] 3.24(-0.26~6.74) 0.07 87 <0.01
    CRP 7[15-16, 18, 34, 38-40] 2.09(1.12~3.05) <0.01 91 <0.01
    APACHE-Ⅱ评分 10[19, 21-22, 28-30, 32, 39-41] 4.28(2.73~5.83) <0.01 77 <0.01
    Ranson评分 11[14, 17, 19, 22, 25, 27-29, 31, 38, 41] 2.99(2.50~3.47) <0.01 66 <0.01
    胆源性病因 14[13, 16, 19, 21, 27-29, 31, 34-35, 37-38, 41, 48] 0.84(0.66~1.08) 0.17 49 0.02
    酒精性病因 15[13, 16, 19, 21, 27-29, 31, 34, 37-38, 40-41, 45, 48] 1.49(1.00~2.24) 0.05 57 <0.01
    器官衰竭 4[24, 27, 32, 41] 10.87(2.62~45.04) <0.01 83 <0.01
    注:1)为异质性检验的P值。
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  3  东方ANP的影响因素

    Table  3.   Influencing factors for ANP in the East

    影响因素 研究个数 OR/MD/SMD (95%CI) P I2值(%) P1)
    年龄 5[50, 55, 59, 65, 67] 1.21(-3.54~5.97) 0.62 57 0.06
    男性 7[50, 53, 55, 59, 65, 67-68] 1.51(1.18~1.91) <0.01 0 0.47
    WBC 2[59, 65] 1.95(-0.23~4.12) 0.08 69 0.07
    AST 2[50, 65] 0.09(-0.04~0.22) 0.16 0 0.37
    淀粉酶 2[50, 68] 0.11(-0.73~0.96) 0.79 56 0.13
    CRP 3[59, 64, 68] 1.39(1.06~1.71) <0.01 0 0.95
    D-二聚体 3[56, 64, 69] 0.44(0.07~0.81) 0.02 53 0.12
    APACHE-Ⅱ评分 2[55, 64] 3.51(1.38~5.64) <0.01 1 0.32
    Ranson评分 2[55, 64] 1.08(-0.59~2.75) 0.21 54 0.03
    胆源性病因 3[55, 65, 68] 0.60(0.46~0.77) <0.01 9 0.33
    酒精性病因 2[65, 68] 3.57(2.68~4.75) <0.01 9 0.30
    注:1)为异质性检验的P值。
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  4  西方IPN的影响因素

    Table  4.   Influencing factors for IPN in the West

    影响因素 研究个数 OR/MD/SMD(95%CI) P I2值(%) P1)
    年龄 10[19, 26-27, 29, 33, 36, 38, 43, 46-47] 4.07(1.82~6.31) <0.01 44 0.06
    男性 10[19, 26-27, 29, 33, 36, 38, 43, 46-47] 1.31(0.92~1.88) 0.13 0 0.81
    BMI 2[43, 47] 0.86(-0.69~2.41) 0.27 0 0.39
    APACHE-Ⅱ评分 5[19, 26-27, 29, 38] 3.28(1.39~5.17) <0.01 55 0.07
    Ranson评分 6[19, 26-27, 29, 33, 38] 2.18(1.75~2.62) <0.01 42 0.12
    SIRS 5[19, 23, 26, 29, 43] 3.88(1.58~9.51) <0.01 0 0.77
    胆源性病因 9[19, 26-27, 29, 33, 36, 38, 46-47] 1.30(0.90~1.89) 0.16 0 0.81
    酒精性病因 9[19, 26-27, 29, 33, 36, 38, 46-47] 0.61(0.42~0.87) <0.01 43 0.08
    器官衰竭 4[20, 27, 46-47] 3.63(1.11~11.92) 0.03 76 <0.01
    坏死范围≥30% 2[27, 36] 9.36(0.69~127.00) 0.09 59 0.12
    注:1)为异质性检验的P值。
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  5  东方IPN的影响因素

    Table  5.   Influencing factors for IPN in the East

    影响因素 研究个数 OR/MD/SMD (95%CI) P I2值(%) P1)
    年龄 6[4, 57-58, 60, 62, 66] 2.16(0.43~3.89) 0.01 35 0.17
    男性 7[4, 57-58, 60, 62-63, 66] 1.16(0.90~1.51) 0.26 9 0.36
    BMI 4[58, 60, 62, 66] 1.74(1.23~2.25) <0.01 0 0.56
    HCT 4[60, 62-63, 66] 2.30(2.02~6.23) 0.30 96 <0.01
    WBC 6[57-58, 60, 62-63, 66] 0.50(-0.35~1.35) 0.25 51 0.07
    PLT 3[57, 63, 66] -0.13(-0.61~0.35) 0.60 82 <0.01
    白蛋白 2[60, 66] -0.43(-0.75~-0.12) <0.01 0 0.65
    BUN 3[62-63, 66] -0.34(-1.28~0.59) 0.47 94 <0.01
    Cre 2[62-63] 0.20(-0.13~0.53) 0.23 50 0.16
    淀粉酶 2[57, 60] 0.03(-0.32~0.38) 0.87 0 0.64
    CRP 5[57, 60, 62-63, 66] 0.58(0.04~1.11) 0.03 87 <0.01
    PCT 3[57, 63, 66] 0.80(0.56~1.04) <0.01 0 0.89
    D-二聚体 2[62-63] 0.23(0.15~0.31) <0.01 0 0.90
    APACHE-Ⅱ评分 6[51, 54, 57, 60, 62-63] 2.47(0.73~4.22) <0.01 91 <0.01
    Ranson评分 2[54, 57] 1.60(1.46~1.73) <0.01 0 0.70
    CTSI 3[57, 60, 62] 2.69(-0.97~6.35) 0.15 99 <0.01
    MCTSI 4[51, 58, 63, 66] 1.90(-0.39~4.20) 0.10 99 <0.01
    Imrie评分 2[62-63] 0(-0.19~0.19) >0.05 0 >0.05
    改良版Marshall评分 2[62-63] 0(-0.19~0.19) >0.05 0 >0.05
    胆源性病因 6[4, 57-58, 60, 62-63] 0.91(0.70~1.19) 0.50 21 0.27
    酒精性病因 6[4, 57-58, 60, 62-63] 0.66(0.35~1.27) 0.21 51 0.07
    合并糖尿病 2[57, 66] 0.66(0.20~2.21) 0.50 0 0.99
    SAP 3[60, 64, 69] 5.51(0.35~86.42) 0.22 95 <0.01
    器官衰竭 2[61, 63] 1.19(0.67~2.10) 0.56 0 0.99
    坏死范围≥30% 6[4, 52, 57-58, 63, 66] 2.52(1.26~5.06) <0.01 76 <0.01
    注:1)为异质性检验的P值。
    下载: 导出CSV
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