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ISSN 1001-5256 (Print)
ISSN 2097-3497 (Online)
CN 22-1108/R
Volume 37 Issue 8
Aug.  2021
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Article Contents

Influence of virologic response on disease progression in patients with compensated hepatitis B cirrhosis

DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-5256.2021.08.014
Research funding:

National Natural Science Foundation of China (81874436);

National Natural Science Foundation of China (81774256);

Three-year Action Plan for Further Speed Up the Development of Chinese Medicine in Shanghai (ZY〔2018-2020〕-CCCX-2003-01);

National Science and Technology Major Project for the Prevention and Treatment of Major Infectious Diseases such as AIDS and Viral Hepatitis (2018ZX10725504);

Pilot Project of Clinical Collaboration Between TCM and Western Medicine for Major and Intractable Diseases (ZY〔2018-2020〕-FXTW-2004);

Traditional Chinese Medicine Consortium Construction Project in Shanghai Pudong New Area (PDZY-2019-0601)

  • Received Date: 2020-12-21
  • Accepted Date: 2021-02-18
  • Published Date: 2021-08-20
  •   Objective  To investigate the effect of sustained virologic response on disease progression and the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with compensated hepatitis B cirrhosis receiving antiviral therapy with nucleos(t)ide analogues (NAs).  Methods  A total of 542 patients with compensated hepatitis B cirrhosis who attended Shuguang Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine from January 1 to December 31, 2013, received antiviral therapy, and were followed up for more than 5 years were enrolled, and according to the status of virologic response during follow-up, they were divided into a sustained virologic response cohort with 496 cases and a non-sustained virologic response cohort with 46 cases. With disease progression as the outcome event, general information and examination data were collected during the 5-year follow-up period. The t-test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between groups, and the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between groups; the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data between groups. A multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed; relative risk and 95% confidence interval (CI) were used to investigate the degree of correlation of factors measured with the progression of liver cirrhosis. The life-table method was used to calculate the 1-, 3-, and 5-year progression-free survival rates, and the Kaplan-Meier method was used to plot survival curves; the log-rank test was used for univariate analysis, and the Cox regression model was used for multivariate regression analysis.  Results  For the 542 patients, the mean progression-free survival time was 62.50 months (95% CI: 61.01-63.92), and the 1-, 3-, and 5-year progression-free survival rates were 94%, 82%, and 71%, respectively. The sustained virologic response cohort had a significantly longer mean progression-free survival time than the non-sustained virologic response cohort [63.10 months (95% CI: 61.65-64.55) vs 55.95 months (95% CI: 50.19-61.71), χ2=12.058, P=0.001]. Compared with the non-sustained virologic response cohort, the sustained virologic response cohort had significantly lower 5-year cumulative incidence rate of HCC than (20.6% vs 34.8%, χ2=5.759, P=0.016) and 5-year cumulative incidence rate of decompensated cirrhosis (5.0% vs 15.2%, χ2=8.239, P=0.004). Virologic response was an independent risk factor for disease progression (hazard ratio=2.32, 95% CI: 1.45-3.72).  Conclusion  Sustained virologic response can reduce the incidence rates of complications and HCC, improve long-term prognosis, and prolong survival time in patients with compensated hepatitis B cirrhosis.

     

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