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[EASL2013]非侵入性标记物对肝脏相关CVD的预后价值

作者:  发布日期: 2013-05-09 阅读次数:
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      2型糖尿病和血脂异常通常是与非酒精性脂肪性肝病(NAFLD)患者的心血管和肝脏相关死亡相关的已知危险因子。2013年欧洲肝病学会(European Association for the Study of the Liver,EASL)主办的国际肝病大会(the International Liver Congress,ILC)上的一项研究发现,2型糖尿病患者,尤其是相关高脂血症的患者,比单纯高脂血症患者晚期肝纤维化和脂肪变性的比例更高,总死亡和肝脏相关的死亡率也更高。

       这项研究评估了非侵入性标记物,FibroTest和SteatoTest,对糖尿病和/或血脂异常且无已知肝病患者的总生存期(OS)、肝脏相关死亡(LRD)和心血管疾病相关死亡(CVD)10年预后价值。研究人员对一组糖尿病和/或血脂异常且无已知肝病的患者进行12年的前瞻性随访(1999年~2012年),搜集死亡率数据。肝脏疾病的验证生物标志物:晚期肝纤维化(AF-METAVIR≥2,FibroTest≥0.48),晚期肝脂肪变性(>32%,SteatoTest>0.69)。对3个子集按危险因素进行分析:糖尿病(D),高脂血症(H)和糖尿病合并高脂血症患者(DH)。

       共纳入2322例患者,在12年的中位随访中,183例(7.8%)死亡[35例发生心血管疾病相关死亡CVD;6例发生肝脏相关死亡LRD(4例肝细胞癌,2胆管癌)]。H组的OS和无CVD生存显著高于D组或DH组(%Kaplan–Meier, 95% CI): OS 96 (95–97) vs 93 (91–96, Logrank P < 0.001 vs H) vs 88 (85–92, P<0.0001 vs H)。无CVD生存:99(98–99)vs 98(96–99,P=0.02 vs H)和97(96–99,P<0.001 vs H)。Steatotest显示有进展性脂肪变性(AS)的H组患者较无AS者的无CVD生存较低:97(94-99)vs 99(98-99,P=0.004)。在多变量分析(Cox模型)中发现:FibroTest在糖尿病组[风险比(RR)=136.9(95%CI:11.6~1610,P<0.0001)和糖尿病合并高脂血症组[RR= 7.1(95%CI:2.1~24,P<0.0001)中对OS仍具有显著的预测价值。

        研究还发现,在糖尿病患者中,无论是否有高脂血症,FibroTest对估测总生存和无肝病死亡生存具显著的10年预后价值。SteatoTest也是高脂血症患者CV相关死亡的预测因子。

论文摘要:

10-years prognostic value of fibrotest and steatotest for liver-related and cardiovascular death in patients with type-2 diabetes and/or hyperlipidemia

Background: Cardiovascular and liver-related deaths have been described in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) that is usually associated with risk factors, as type-2 diabetes and dyslipidemia.

Aims: To evaluate the 10-year prognostic value of non-invasive markers (FibroTest-SteatoTest) for the overall survival (OS) and survivals without liver-(LRD) and cardiovascular-related death
(CVD).

Methods: A cohort of patients with diabetes and/or dyslipidemia without known liver disease was prospectively followed[1999–2012]. Mortality data, according to the International Classification of Diseases, was collected in the French National Registry. Liver diseases were presumed by validated biomarkers: Advanced liver fibrosis (AF-METAVIR≥2, FibroTest≥0.48) and advanced steatosis (>32%-AS, SteatoTest>0.69). Three sub-populations were analyzed according to the risk factors: diabetics (D), hyperlipidemia (H) and diabetics with hyperlipidemia (DH).

Results: 2322 patients[52%males, age=52yrs, BMI 26 (15–64)Kg/m2, 61%H; 11%D and 28%DH] were included. The prevalence of presumed AF were H 2.5%, D 6.5% and DH 9% (P < 0.0001). AS was presumed in H 11%, D 23% and DH 39% (P < 0.0001). During a median follow-up of 12yrs, 183 (7.8%) patients died[35 CVD; 6 LRD (4 hepatocellular-carcinoma and 2 cholangio-carcinoma)]. Both OS and survival without-CVD were significantly higher in H than in D or DH (%Kaplan–Meier, 95% CI): OS 96 (95–97) vs 93 (91–96, Logrank P < 0.001 vs H) vs 88 (85–92, P < 0.0001 vs H), respectively. Survival without CVD: 99 (98–99) vs 98 (96–99, P = 0.02 vs H) vs 97 (96–99, P < 0.001 vs H), with no LRD in H-group. OS and survival without-LDR in AF vs non-AF presumed by FT were: D-group 81 (62–99) vs 94 (91–97, P = 0.04) and 94 (82–99) vs 100 (99–100, P < 0.01); DH-group 72 (55–88) vs 89 (86–93, P = 0.04) and 90 (81–99) vs 100 (99–100, P < 0.0001), respectively. H-group
with AS presumed by Steatotest had lower survival without-CVD, compared to non-AS: 97 (94–99) vs 99 (98–99, P = 0.004). In multivariate analysis (Cox model): Fibrotest remained significant for the prediction of OS in D-group[risk ratio (RR)=136.9 (95% CI 11.6–1610; P < 0.0001)] and in DH-group [RR=7.1 (95% CI 2.1–24; P < 0.0001)].

Conclusion: Patients with type-2 diabetes especially those with associated hyperlipidemia presented higher rates of advanced fibrosis and steatosis and also higher overall and liver-related mortalities than those with isolated hyperlipidemia. In diabetics, regardless associated hyperlipemia, FibroTest had a significant 10-years prognostic value for the overall and without liver-related death survivals. SteatoTest was predictive of cardiovascular-related death in hyperlipidemia patients.
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作者:  发布日期: 2013-05-09 阅读次数: